Paul Krugman’s October 16th New York Times article, “Waaaaah Street Attacks” is oddly inconsistent. First, Better Banking Law certainly agrees with him that “repealing Glass-Steagall was indeed a mistake.” However, he then takes a wild turn in his very next sentence: “But it’s not what caused the financial crisis, which arose instead from ‘shadow banks’ like Lehman Brothers.”
Had he said: “The repeal of Glass Steagall was only one of the causes that contributed to the crisis and that Lehman Brothers’ failure was also a contributor” he would have had no argument from Better Banking Law. But to flatly state that the repeal did not cause the financial crisis, he is essentially asserting that the ability of Federally Insured commercial banks to underwrite toxic mortgage-backed bonds did not cause or contribute to the crisis in a major way. This is nonsense and Mr. Krugman surely must agree since several paragraphs later he reverses course once again, stating accurately but too narrowly: “After all, runaway banks brought the economy to its knees, causing millions to lose their jobs, their homes, or both. What’s more, banks themselves were bailed out, at potentially large expense to taxpayers.” I say narrowly because there were several other culprits, besides the banks, which I will allude to later.
Lehman Brothers was an old line investment bank which underwrote and traded securities that, due first to bank regulators eviscerating Glass-Steagall and then Congress repealing a key part of it in 1999, now had to compete in the investment banking arena with Federally Insured commercial banks. A prime example is Citigroup which, in addition to having FDIC insurance, could, in an emergency, also borrow funds from the Federal Reserve. Lehman had neither advantage and, unlike Citigroup, was not bailed out by the taxpayers and instead went bankrupt. Citigroup incidentally was the #1 underwriter of Collateralized Debt Obligation Bonds in 2007 with $41.7 Billion while Lehman only ranked 10th with $16.7 Billion. In fact, in addition to Citigroup as number 1, the 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 8th ranked underwriters of such bonds were also commercial banks.
Citigroup received a minimum of $45 Billion of Uncle Sam’s bailout funds while Lehman got none. Had Glass-Steagall still been in effect, how in the world could Citigroup have lost so much money had it not been permitted to underwrite and trade securities, whether CDOs, mortgage-backed bonds or other securities?
We at Better Banking Law have never said that the repeal of Glass-Stegall was the sole reason for the financial crisis of 2008. There were several other culprits including:
- Toxic mortgages consisting of liar loans brought to market by unscrupulous mortgage brokers which were then securitized and repackaged by Wall Street banks and securities firms;
- Individual borrowers that took on debts which they didn’t understand and couldn’t afford unless the housing bubble continued to expand;
- Credit rating agencies which blessed many hundreds of questionable mortgage backed securities issues with their highest ratings of AAA;
- Irresponsible lending by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which lowered their own credit standards so as not to lose market share to Wall Street; and
- Federal banking regulators that utterly failed to do their jobs.
Of course Lehman Brothers and the other investment banks were just as guilty as the Federally Insured commercial banks of causing the financial crisis along with the other culprits mentioned. However, the issue is whether, had Glass-Steagall still been in effect in 2008, thus preventing Federally Insured commercial banks from underwriting the hundreds of $Billions of toxic bonds they did, the crisis would have grown to anywhere near the size it did. Any fair-minded person would have said no, it could not have grown nearly as big and the bubble would have burst much sooner had Federally Insured commercial banks not first joined the party and later nearly dominated it.
Furthermore, it is hard to believe that Congress would ever have bailed out stand alone investment banks. After all, commercial banks, not investment banks, are at the heart of the nation’s payments system and that was why the Fed, the Bush Administration and Congress bailed out the Federally Insured commercial banks.
It is important to remember that no investment banks were bailed out unless and until they were first either purchased by a commercial bank or became bank holding companies themselves. Think of it. Of the five largest independent securities firms in early 2008, Bear Stearns, about to fail, was absorbed by J.P. Morgan with strong encouragement by the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve and immense financial help from the Fed; Lehman Brothers went bankrupt; a shaky Merrill Lynch was bought by Bank of America; and shortly thereafter the two strongest, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, were firmly encouraged by the Fed and the Treasury to become, and quickly became, bank holding companies.
It is also helpful to recall that, prior to the crisis, hundreds of investment banks went bankrupt or were forced into mergers. Taxpayers hardly noticed. A generation ago, Drexel Burnham, the dominant underwriter of high yield bonds, went bankrupt and the financial markets shrugged. It is not the same when a Federally Insured “Too Big To Fail” commercial bank fails. First the FDIC, and ultimately the U.S. taxpayers, bail them out. If Glass-Steagall or something similar, such as the U.K.’s current “ringfencing” statute, were the law in the United States, those commercial banks would not need to be saved by taxpayers.